Strategic management of food security in the context of military risks: Management models and institutional mechanisms in Ukraine
Ivan Zubar 1 * , Sergii Lapshyn 1 , Yuliia Namazova 1 , Maryna Nazarenko 1 , Ihor Kushko 1
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1 Vinnytsia Mykhailo Kotsiubynskyi State Pedagogical University, UKRAINE* Corresponding Author

Abstract

Global food security faces macroeconomic instability, food price shocks, and structural household vulnerability. Ukrainian agribusiness, amid full-scale war, operates under disrupted production and logistics chains, reduced resources, rising transaction costs, and increased risks to food accessibility. This article theoretically and empirically examines strategic management of food security in Ukraine during wartime. Secondary data from the FAO and monthly consumer and food price indices for 2019–2024 were analyzed using correlation (Pearson, Spearman, Kendall) and ANOVA methods, with CPI Gap indicators and paired t-tests applied. Results show a significant positive correlation between food prices and global food insecurity, structural asymmetry in inflation with food prices outpacing overall CPI, and a context-dependent wartime effect explaining 12% of inflation variance. The empirical findings are integrated into a hierarchical strategic management framework that links policy instruments, management models, and institutional mechanisms. The proposed strategic approach integrates state instruments, management models, and institutional mechanisms with measurable indicators, offering cross-sectoral applicability for public authorities and agri-food entities during war and post-war recovery.

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This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

Article Type: Research Article

EUR J SUSTAIN DEV RES, Volume 10, Issue 4, 2026, Article No: em0426

https://doi.org/10.29333/ejosdr/19103

Publication date: 01 Oct 2026

Online publication date: 09 Aug 2026

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